Future Power: Where will the world get its next energy fix?
Future power: where will the world get its next energy fix?
COPYRIGHT 2005 National Geographic Society
Called the Saudi Arabia of wind, the Great Plains hold huge potential
for wind power, which has barely been tapped. The sisters at the
Sacred Heart Monastery in North Dakota slashed their electric bills
by installing two wind turbines. Says prioress'. Marie Hunkler, "We
wanted to be a witness to what can
happen."
Freedom!
I stand in a cluttered room surrounded by the debris of electrical
enthusiasm: wire peelings, snippets of copper, yellow connectors,
insulated pliers. For me these are the tools of freedom. I have
just installed a dozen solar panels on my roof, and they work.
A meter shows that 1,285 watts of power are blasting straight from
the sun into my system, charging my batteries, cooling my refrigerator,
humming through my computer, liberating my life.
The euphoria of energy freedom is addictive. Don't get me wrong;
I love fossil fuels. I live on an island that happens to have no
utilities, but otherwise my wife and I have a normal American life.
We don't want propane refrigerators, kerosene lamps, or composting
toilets. We want a lot of electrical outlets and a cappuccino maker.
But when I turn on those panels, wow!
Maybe that's because for me, as for most Americans, one energy
crisis or another has shadowed most of the past three decades.
From the OPEC crunch of the 1970s to the skyrocketing cost of oil
and gasoline today, the world's concern over energy has haunted
presidential speeches, congressional campaigns, disaster books,
and my own sense of well-being with the same kind of gnawing unease
that characterized the Cold War.
As NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC reported in June 2004, oil, no longer cheap,
may soon decline. Instability where most oil is found, from the
Persian Gulf to Nigeria to Venezuela, makes this lifeline fragile.
Natural gas can be hard to transport and is prone to shortages.
We won't run out of coal anytime soon, or the largely untapped
deposits of tar sands and oil shale. But it's clear that the carbon
dioxide spewed by coal and other fossil fuels is warming the planet,
as this magazine reported last September.
Cutting loose from that worry is enticing. With my new panels,
nothing stands between me and limitless energy--no foreign nation,
no power company, no carbon-emission guilt. I'm free!
Well, almost. Here comes a cloud.
Shade steals across my panels and over my heart. The meter shows
only 120 watts. I'm going to have to start the generator and burn
some more gasoline. This isn't going to be easy after all.
The trouble with energy freedom is that it's addictive; when you
get a little, you want a lot. In microcosm I'm like people in government,
industry, and private life all over the world, who have tasted
a bit of this curious and compelling kind of liberty and are determined
to find more.
Some experts think this pursuit is even more important than the
war on terrorism. "Terrorism doesn't threaten the viability
of the heart of our high-technology lifestyle," says Martin
Hoffert, a professor of physics at New York University. "But
energy really does."
Energy conservation can stave off the day of reckoning, but in
the end you can't conserve what you don't have. So Hoffert and
others have no doubt: It's time to step up the search for the next
great fuel for the hungry engine of humankind.
Is there such a fuel? The short answer is no. Experts say it like
a mantra: "There is no silver bullet." Though a few true
believers claim that only vast conspiracies or lack of funds stand
between us and endless energy from the vacuum of space or the core
of the Earth, the truth is that there's no single great new fuel
waiting in the heart of an equation or at the end of a drill bit.
Enthusiasm about hydrogen-fueled cars may give the wrong impression.
Hydrogen is not a source of energy. It's found along with oxygen
in plain old water, but it isn't there for the taking. Hydrogen
has to be freed before it is useful, and that costs more energy
than the hydrogen gives back. These days, this energy comes mostly
from fossil fuels. No silver bullet there.
The long answer about our next fuel is not so grim, however. In
fact, plenty of contenders for the energy crown now held by fossil
fuels are already at hand: wind, solar, even nuclear, to name a
few. But the successor will have to be a congress, not a king.
Virtually every energy expert I met did something unexpected: He
pushed not just his own specialty but everyone else's too.
"
We're going to need everything we can get from biomass, everything
we can get from solar, everything we can get from wind," says
Michael Pacheco, director of the National Bioenergy Center, part
of the National Renewable Energy Laboratories (NREL) in Golden,
Colorado. "And still the question is, can we get enough?"
The big problem is big numbers. The world uses some 320 billion
kilowatt-hours of energy a day. It's equal to about 22 bulbs burning
nonstop for every person on the planet. No wonder the sparkle is
seen from space. Hoffert's team estimates that within the next
century humanity could use three times that much. Fossil fuels
have met the growing demand because they pack millions of years
of the sun's energy into a compact form, but we will not find their
like again.
Fired up by my taste of energy freedom, I went looking for technologies
that can address those numbers. "If you have a big problem,
you must give a big answer," says a genial energy guru named
Hermann Scheer, a member of the German parliament. "Otherwise
people don't believe".
The answers...
|